Heavy meeting set the tone! The turnover of A-shares exceeded one trillion yuan for 50 consecutive trading days, focusing on the opportunities of core assets of A50ETF Huabao (159596). On December 10th, the A-share market rose across the board, and the turnover of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets exceeded one trillion yuan for the 50th consecutive trading day, setting a new record. By midday, A50ETF Huabao (159596) had increased by 1.98%, with a turnover of 101 million yuan. In terms of constituent stocks, the top ten awkward stocks rose more and fell less. CITIC Securities led the gains, and China Ping An, China Merchants Bank and other stocks followed suit. According to changjiang securities's analysis, "moderately loose monetary policy" indicates abundant liquidity and broad-spectrum interest rate is still in the downward channel, which is expected to benefit bonds and stocks from the denominator. The "more active fiscal policy" and "all-round expansion of domestic demand" indicate that the broad credit policy is expected to continue to increase, and it is expected to support the price of equity assets from the molecular side.Research Report: In the third quarter, the installed capacity of traction inverters for electric vehicles in China accounted for 61% of the world. According to the latest research of TrendForce Jibang Consulting, the total installed capacity of traction inverters for electric vehicles in the third quarter of 2024 reached 6.87 million, which was 7% higher than that in the same period last year, but the growth rate has been reduced. In the competition pattern of first-class suppliers, BYD benefited from the hot sales of its models. In the third quarter, the installed market share of traction inverter increased by 1% to 18%, surpassing Denso of Japanese factory for the first time and becoming the company with the highest market share. The market share of Huichuan Technology has also increased to 6%, which shows that the competitiveness of China manufacturers in this field continues to increase. Generally speaking, China manufacturers, Japanese manufacturers and Tesla together account for half of the global installed capacity, while the influence of European and American manufacturers is gradually weakening. TrendForce Jibang Consulting indicated that the regional differentiation of traction inverters is becoming more and more obvious, with the installed capacity in China accounting for 61% of the global total. Under the pressure of shrinking market, Europe is actively reforming and cutting expenditure to enhance the competitiveness of the electric vehicle industry chain. In the short term, the stable demand in China market will continue to support the growth of traction inverter market. In the long run, if the European automobile industry chain can be successfully reformed, it will help boost the overall performance of the global traction inverter and electric vehicle market.Reserve Bank of Australia: Considering the recent data, the Committee's assessment is that monetary policy is still restrictive and is working as expected. In the November forecast, the degree of relief of wage pressure exceeded expectations.
Sudan and South Sudan extended the opening hours of the humanitarian corridor between the two countries, and the governments of Sudan and South Sudan signed an agreement on December 9 local time to extend the opening hours of the humanitarian corridor between the two countries until February 2 next year. According to the agreement, air routes from South Sudan to Kadugli, the capital of South Kordofan State in Sudan, and Garad and Kaunau will continue to be open to facilitate the delivery of humanitarian aid from South Sudan to Sudan. After the agreement expires on February 2 next year, the two sides will also discuss the extension.Reserve Bank of Australia President Brock: The upward inflation risk under discussion has eased, but it has not disappeared. We need to see more progress in basic inflation.Afternoon comments on Hong Kong stocks: Hang Seng Index rose by 1.00%, Hang Seng Technology Index rose by 0.79%, and Hong Kong stocks opened higher and fell back. By midday, Hang Seng Index rose by 1.00% and Hang Seng Technology Index rose by 0.79%. On the first day of listing, Mao Geping rose by 78.19%, and it rose by over 5%. Shang Tang fell more than 4%.
With the return of high dividend assets, the market pays attention to the investment value of dividend sector. The Standard & Poor's dividend ETF(562060) rose by 1.07% at midday. By midday on December 10th, the standard & poor's dividend ETF(562060) rose by 1.07%, with a turnover of 20,646,600 yuan. The constituent stocks rose strongly, with Yongxing Materials rising by 3.73%, Aopu Technology rising by 2.12%, Lu 'an Huaneng rising by 2%, Gaoce shares and Jianfa shares rising one after another. In the news, recently, the strong performance of China bond market led to the decline of the yield of 10-year treasury bonds, which fell below the key point of 2.0%, and the dividend assets in the A-share market ushered in an upward trend. Insiders pointed out that the decline in the cost performance of bond allocation is a long-term dimensional reason for supporting the dominance of the dividend sector. With the continuous decline of the yield of 10-year treasury bonds, institutional investors' confirmation of the long-term low interest rate environment will be conducive to the continuous excavation of the value of dividend assets.Huang Wentao of China CITIC Construction Investment Co., Ltd. and others: It is estimated that deficit ratio will rise to over 4% in 2025, and it is expected that the stock and debt will continue. On December 9th, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, and Liu Tianyu, macro analyst of CITIC Jiantou, believe that the policy tone of this Politburo meeting is quite proactive, which shows that the central government has made a full assessment and policy reserve for the pressures and risks that may be encountered in economic development next year, which has strongly echoed the expectations of economic entities. Huang Wentao and Liu Tianyu pointed out that GDP growth in the fourth quarter is expected to reach more than 5.2%, achieving the expected goal of annual economic growth of around 5%. On this basis, the annual growth target of about 5% will also be the basic premise of policy discussion in the next few years. Since the fourth quarter of this year, the fiscal policy has been continuously overweight. This time, the fiscal policy is set to be "more active", which indicates that the fiscal policy will expand again. It is estimated that deficit ratio will increase to over 4% in 2025. Both stocks and debts are expected to continue. Unconventional countercyclical adjustment policies not only provide sufficient impetus for the recovery of economic vitality, but also provide strong support for improving expectations and reviving confidence, and provide sufficient source of living water for the capital market. The stock market is expected to continue to strengthen and the risk-free rate of return is expected to continue to decline.Treasury futures closed in early trading, with 2-year Treasury futures (TS) up 0.14%, 5-year Treasury futures (TF) up 0.42%, 10-year Treasury futures (T) up 0.64% and 30-year Treasury futures (TL) up 1.23%.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13